Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models highlight moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover suppressing peak daytime heating over Istanbul on August 31, anchoring trader consensus around 26–27°C with closely matched implied probabilities. These conditions align with observed late-August patterns where Black Sea and Marmara Sea breezes moderate land temperatures, keeping maxima near or slightly below the seasonal climatological average of 27–29°C. Model consensus remains tight for the two-day window, though small shifts in wind direction or insolation could differentiate outcomes at the 1°C threshold; fresh runs from Turkish and European centers will provide the next key update before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 31 августа?
26°C 50%
27°C 38%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
50%
27°C
38%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 38%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$150 Объем
2%
24°C
$31 Объем
3%
25°C
$73 Объем
5%
26°C
$2,738 Объем
50%
27°C
$386 Объем
38%
28°C
$23 Объем
6%
29°C
$31 Объем
2%
30°C
$20 Объем
<1%
31°C
$20 Объем
<1%
32°C
$20 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$20 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models highlight moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover suppressing peak daytime heating over Istanbul on August 31, anchoring trader consensus around 26–27°C with closely matched implied probabilities. These conditions align with observed late-August patterns where Black Sea and Marmara Sea breezes moderate land temperatures, keeping maxima near or slightly below the seasonal climatological average of 27–29°C. Model consensus remains tight for the two-day window, though small shifts in wind direction or insolation could differentiate outcomes at the 1°C threshold; fresh runs from Turkish and European centers will provide the next key update before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$3,512Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models highlight moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover suppressing peak daytime heating over Istanbul on August 31, anchoring trader consensus around 26–27°C with closely matched implied probabilities. These conditions align with observed late-August patterns where Black Sea and Marmara Sea breezes moderate land temperatures, keeping maxima near or slightly below the seasonal climatological average of 27–29°C. Model consensus remains tight for the two-day window, though small shifts in wind direction or insolation could differentiate outcomes at the 1°C threshold; fresh runs from Turkish and European centers will provide the next key update before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,512Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models highlight moderate northerly flow and partial cloud cover suppressing peak daytime heating over Istanbul on August 31, anchoring trader consensus around 26–27°C with closely matched implied probabilities. These conditions align with observed late-August patterns where Black Sea and Marmara Sea breezes moderate land temperatures, keeping maxima near or slightly below the seasonal climatological average of 27–29°C. Model consensus remains tight for the two-day window, though small shifts in wind direction or insolation could differentiate outcomes at the 1°C threshold; fresh runs from Turkish and European centers will provide the next key update before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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