Forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds, producing a minimum near 19–20 °C for Istanbul on August 31. Dew-point values around 17–19 °C and stable high pressure limit cloud cover and moisture, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset while daytime highs reach 27–30 °C. Minor model differences in wind speed or residual humidity create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23 °C; a slight increase in cloud or stronger flow could push the low a degree higher, whereas clearer conditions favor the lower end. Updated model runs and official minimum observations will resolve the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 31 августа?
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
22°C 27%
17°C or below
5%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
9%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
22°C 27%
17°C or below
5%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds, producing a minimum near 19–20 °C for Istanbul on August 31. Dew-point values around 17–19 °C and stable high pressure limit cloud cover and moisture, allowing efficient heat loss after sunset while daytime highs reach 27–30 °C. Minor model differences in wind speed or residual humidity create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23 °C; a slight increase in cloud or stronger flow could push the low a degree higher, whereas clearer conditions favor the lower end. Updated model runs and official minimum observations will resolve the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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