**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Kuala Lumpur's minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall between 25–27°C, consistent with the Southwest Monsoon pattern and historical August averages of ~24.5°C.** Strengthening El Niño conditions are supporting above-normal temperatures across the region while suppressing rainfall, though persistent haze from Sumatran and Kalimantan fires—expected to linger through the date—may slightly reduce daytime heating and moderate overnight lows via reduced insolation and altered radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects in the city center add minor variability. Model runs show close consensus on the range but diverge on exact timing of any showers or cloud cover that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 26°C, 25°C, and adjacent outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Department guidance and fresh model ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Куала-Лумпуре 31 августа?
30°C or higher 60%
20°C or below 57%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
20°C or below
57%
21°C
12%
22°C
10%
23°C
49%
24°C
13%
25°C
30%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
60%
30°C or higher 60%
20°C or below 57%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
20°C or below
57%
21°C
12%
22°C
10%
23°C
49%
24°C
13%
25°C
30%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Kuala Lumpur's minimum temperature on August 31 will likely fall between 25–27°C, consistent with the Southwest Monsoon pattern and historical August averages of ~24.5°C.** Strengthening El Niño conditions are supporting above-normal temperatures across the region while suppressing rainfall, though persistent haze from Sumatran and Kalimantan fires—expected to linger through the date—may slightly reduce daytime heating and moderate overnight lows via reduced insolation and altered radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects in the city center add minor variability. Model runs show close consensus on the range but diverge on exact timing of any showers or cloud cover that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 26°C, 25°C, and adjacent outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Department guidance and fresh model ensembles over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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