Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and several models place Austin's August 28 high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the tight 98–99°F and 100–101°F market shares. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°F or allow brief spikes above 101°F if skies clear fully. With climatological August highs averaging ~96°F and recent days already exceeding 100°F amid persistent high pressure, traders weigh the narrow window between model consensus and local variability, including heat-index values near 109°F that do not alter the dry-bulb resolution criteria.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 28 августа?
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 11%
94-95°F 8%
91°F или ниже
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
44%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 44%
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 11%
94-95°F 8%
91°F или ниже
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
44%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and several models place Austin's August 28 high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the tight 98–99°F and 100–101°F market shares. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°F or allow brief spikes above 101°F if skies clear fully. With climatological August highs averaging ~96°F and recent days already exceeding 100°F amid persistent high pressure, traders weigh the narrow window between model consensus and local variability, including heat-index values near 109°F that do not alter the dry-bulb resolution criteria.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы