Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall between 18–22°C, with consensus near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Northerly winds and elevated humidity will limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. Ensemble spreads reflect differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing across ECMWF and GFS runs, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around these thresholds rather than a dominant outcome. Updated model guidance later today could narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 29 августа?
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
23°C 50%
25°C or higher 43%
15°C or below
42%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
43%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
23°C 50%
25°C or higher 43%
15°C or below
42%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall between 18–22°C, with consensus near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Northerly winds and elevated humidity will limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. Ensemble spreads reflect differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing across ECMWF and GFS runs, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around these thresholds rather than a dominant outcome. Updated model guidance later today could narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы