Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 9–13 °C, with ensemble runs clustering near 10–12 °C. This range arises mainly from variable nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds of 2–8 m/s that limit mixing, and surface pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. Clear spells enhance longwave heat loss, potentially pushing readings toward 10 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger advection keeps values nearer 12 °C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.2 °C, and the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes reflects unresolved differences in model boundary-layer schemes and timing of any brief showers that could alter the minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 29 августа?
10°C 46%
11°C 46%
9°C 6%
8°C <1%
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
46%
13°C or higher
<1%
10°C 46%
11°C 46%
9°C 6%
8°C <1%
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
46%
13°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 centering on 9–13 °C, with ensemble runs clustering near 10–12 °C. This range arises mainly from variable nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light southeasterly winds of 2–8 m/s that limit mixing, and surface pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. Clear spells enhance longwave heat loss, potentially pushing readings toward 10 °C, while increased cloud cover or slightly stronger advection keeps values nearer 12 °C. Historical climatology places the average low at 11.2 °C, and the tight market spread among 10 °C, 11 °C, and 12 °C outcomes reflects unresolved differences in model boundary-layer schemes and timing of any brief showers that could alter the minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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