Austin's late-August climate features average daily highs near 95–100°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, with occasional peaks to 104–106°F when a strong upper-level ridge suppresses cloud cover and limits mixing. National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 26, 2026, point to surface temperatures in this range, modulated by southwesterly flow, dew-point levels around 70°F, and any afternoon convection that could cap maximum readings. Record territory above 110°F requires exceptional ridging and dry adiabatic lapse rates rarely observed this late in the season, while sub-96°F outcomes hinge on increased moisture, thicker cloud decks, or a frontal passage—conditions not strongly indicated in current runs. Traders are weighing these thermodynamic and synoptic variables against typical August variability captured in historical observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 26 августа?
102-103°F 45%
104-105°F 40%
106-107°F 17%
108-109°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
29%
104-105°F
40%
106-107°F
17%
108-109°F
14%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 45%
104-105°F 40%
106-107°F 17%
108-109°F 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
95°F or below
$0 Объем
2%
96-97°F
$5 Объем
2%
98-99°F
$260 Объем
2%
100-101°F
$0 Объем
9%
102-103°F
$9 Объем
29%
104-105°F
$5 Объем
40%
106-107°F
$10 Объем
17%
108-109°F
$5 Объем
14%
110-111°F
$5 Объем
1%
112-113°F
$5 Объем
<1%
114°F or higher
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Austin's late-August climate features average daily highs near 95–100°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, with occasional peaks to 104–106°F when a strong upper-level ridge suppresses cloud cover and limits mixing. National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 26, 2026, point to surface temperatures in this range, modulated by southwesterly flow, dew-point levels around 70°F, and any afternoon convection that could cap maximum readings. Record territory above 110°F requires exceptional ridging and dry adiabatic lapse rates rarely observed this late in the season, while sub-96°F outcomes hinge on increased moisture, thicker cloud decks, or a frontal passage—conditions not strongly indicated in current runs. Traders are weighing these thermodynamic and synoptic variables against typical August variability captured in historical observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$304Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Austin's late-August climate features average daily highs near 95–100°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, with occasional peaks to 104–106°F when a strong upper-level ridge suppresses cloud cover and limits mixing. National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 26, 2026, point to surface temperatures in this range, modulated by southwesterly flow, dew-point levels around 70°F, and any afternoon convection that could cap maximum readings. Record territory above 110°F requires exceptional ridging and dry adiabatic lapse rates rarely observed this late in the season, while sub-96°F outcomes hinge on increased moisture, thicker cloud decks, or a frontal passage—conditions not strongly indicated in current runs. Traders are weighing these thermodynamic and synoptic variables against typical August variability captured in historical observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$304Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Austin's late-August climate features average daily highs near 95–100°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, with occasional peaks to 104–106°F when a strong upper-level ridge suppresses cloud cover and limits mixing. National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for August 26, 2026, point to surface temperatures in this range, modulated by southwesterly flow, dew-point levels around 70°F, and any afternoon convection that could cap maximum readings. Record territory above 110°F requires exceptional ridging and dry adiabatic lapse rates rarely observed this late in the season, while sub-96°F outcomes hinge on increased moisture, thicker cloud decks, or a frontal passage—conditions not strongly indicated in current runs. Traders are weighing these thermodynamic and synoptic variables against typical August variability captured in historical observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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