National Weather Service forecasts and ongoing Central Texas heat wave conditions under persistent subtropical ridging position 104–105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, with clear skies and light southerly flow favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud interference. Recent daily maxima of 103–107°F align with this setup, while climatological August averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and historical records above 110°F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented nature of current readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds incorporates these factors alongside typical forecast uncertainty ranges from official model guidance, with upcoming official observations from the National Weather Service station serving as the resolution benchmark.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 24 августа?
104-105°F 49%
102-103°F 36%
106-107°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,434 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,434 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
95°F или ниже
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
36%
104-105°F
49%
106-107°F
12%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F или выше
<1%
104-105°F 49%
102-103°F 36%
106-107°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,434 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,434 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
95°F или ниже
$65 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$163 Объем
<1%
98-99°F
$247 Объем
<1%
100-101°F
$764 Объем
4%
102-103°F
$2,748 Объем
36%
104-105°F
$4,201 Объем
49%
106-107°F
$1,055 Объем
12%
108-109°F
$302 Объем
1%
110-111°F
$518 Объем
<1%
112-113°F
$181 Объем
<1%
114°F или выше
$190 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ongoing Central Texas heat wave conditions under persistent subtropical ridging position 104–105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, with clear skies and light southerly flow favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud interference. Recent daily maxima of 103–107°F align with this setup, while climatological August averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and historical records above 110°F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented nature of current readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds incorporates these factors alongside typical forecast uncertainty ranges from official model guidance, with upcoming official observations from the National Weather Service station serving as the resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$10,434Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ongoing Central Texas heat wave conditions under persistent subtropical ridging position 104–105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, with clear skies and light southerly flow favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud interference. Recent daily maxima of 103–107°F align with this setup, while climatological August averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and historical records above 110°F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented nature of current readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds incorporates these factors alongside typical forecast uncertainty ranges from official model guidance, with upcoming official observations from the National Weather Service station serving as the resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,434Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ongoing Central Texas heat wave conditions under persistent subtropical ridging position 104–105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, with clear skies and light southerly flow favoring strong daytime heating and minimal cloud interference. Recent daily maxima of 103–107°F align with this setup, while climatological August averages in the mid-to-upper 90s and historical records above 110°F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented nature of current readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds incorporates these factors alongside typical forecast uncertainty ranges from official model guidance, with upcoming official observations from the National Weather Service station serving as the resolution benchmark.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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