**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 under persistent upper-level ridging.** Southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation (20% or less chance) support this outcome, with heat indices potentially reaching 108°F. Recent NWS updates and ensemble guidance show little day-to-day variability, placing the most likely maximum in the 104–105°F bin that currently holds 53% market-implied probability. A modest chance of brief afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could nudge readings into the 106–107°F range (31.5%), while any unexpected moisture increase would favor the lower 102–103°F tier. The strong ridge and ongoing heat wave keep probabilities concentrated in these narrow bands ahead of tomorrow’s official high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 23 августа?
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
95°F или ниже
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
32%
108-109°F
8%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
2%
114°F или выше
2%
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
95°F или ниже
$80 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$87 Объем
1%
98-99°F
$26 Объем
1%
100-101°F
$9 Объем
5%
102-103°F
$41 Объем
16%
104-105°F
$140 Объем
53%
106-107°F
$65 Объем
32%
108-109°F
$22 Объем
8%
110-111°F
$22 Объем
1%
112-113°F
$26 Объем
2%
114°F или выше
$18 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 under persistent upper-level ridging.** Southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation (20% or less chance) support this outcome, with heat indices potentially reaching 108°F. Recent NWS updates and ensemble guidance show little day-to-day variability, placing the most likely maximum in the 104–105°F bin that currently holds 53% market-implied probability. A modest chance of brief afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could nudge readings into the 106–107°F range (31.5%), while any unexpected moisture increase would favor the lower 102–103°F tier. The strong ridge and ongoing heat wave keep probabilities concentrated in these narrow bands ahead of tomorrow’s official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$535Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 under persistent upper-level ridging.** Southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation (20% or less chance) support this outcome, with heat indices potentially reaching 108°F. Recent NWS updates and ensemble guidance show little day-to-day variability, placing the most likely maximum in the 104–105°F bin that currently holds 53% market-implied probability. A modest chance of brief afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could nudge readings into the 106–107°F range (31.5%), while any unexpected moisture increase would favor the lower 102–103°F tier. The strong ridge and ongoing heat wave keep probabilities concentrated in these narrow bands ahead of tomorrow’s official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$535Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a high near 105°F in Austin on August 23 under persistent upper-level ridging.** Southerly flow, mostly sunny skies, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation (20% or less chance) support this outcome, with heat indices potentially reaching 108°F. Recent NWS updates and ensemble guidance show little day-to-day variability, placing the most likely maximum in the 104–105°F bin that currently holds 53% market-implied probability. A modest chance of brief afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could nudge readings into the 106–107°F range (31.5%), while any unexpected moisture increase would favor the lower 102–103°F tier. The strong ridge and ongoing heat wave keep probabilities concentrated in these narrow bands ahead of tomorrow’s official high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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