National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 22 high, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge and heat dome sustaining extreme summer conditions across Central Texas. Recent observations confirm multiple days of 103-104°F readings amid low humidity and clear skies, with heat advisories in effect and projections holding upper-90s to low-100s through the weekend. These factors align with above-normal temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, though minor shifts in steering patterns or afternoon convection could adjust final readings within the 102-106°F range most favored by traders. Updated NWS guidance and model runs ahead of resolution remain key watchpoints.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 22 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 22 августа?
104-105°F 53%
102-103°F 25%
106-107°F 17%
100-101°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
95°F или ниже
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
17%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F или выше
<1%
104-105°F 53%
102-103°F 25%
106-107°F 17%
100-101°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
95°F или ниже
$55 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$41 Объем
1%
98-99°F
$10 Объем
1%
100-101°F
$68 Объем
4%
102-103°F
$247 Объем
25%
104-105°F
$265 Объем
53%
106-107°F
$70 Объем
17%
108-109°F
$95 Объем
4%
110-111°F
$131 Объем
1%
112-113°F
$269 Объем
<1%
114°F или выше
$140 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 22 high, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge and heat dome sustaining extreme summer conditions across Central Texas. Recent observations confirm multiple days of 103-104°F readings amid low humidity and clear skies, with heat advisories in effect and projections holding upper-90s to low-100s through the weekend. These factors align with above-normal temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, though minor shifts in steering patterns or afternoon convection could adjust final readings within the 102-106°F range most favored by traders. Updated NWS guidance and model runs ahead of resolution remain key watchpoints.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,391Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 22 high, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge and heat dome sustaining extreme summer conditions across Central Texas. Recent observations confirm multiple days of 103-104°F readings amid low humidity and clear skies, with heat advisories in effect and projections holding upper-90s to low-100s through the weekend. These factors align with above-normal temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, though minor shifts in steering patterns or afternoon convection could adjust final readings within the 102-106°F range most favored by traders. Updated NWS guidance and model runs ahead of resolution remain key watchpoints.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,391Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 22 high, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge and heat dome sustaining extreme summer conditions across Central Texas. Recent observations confirm multiple days of 103-104°F readings amid low humidity and clear skies, with heat advisories in effect and projections holding upper-90s to low-100s through the weekend. These factors align with above-normal temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, though minor shifts in steering patterns or afternoon convection could adjust final readings within the 102-106°F range most favored by traders. Updated NWS guidance and model runs ahead of resolution remain key watchpoints.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы