Persistent high pressure and subsidence under a strong upper-level ridge have sustained clear skies and light southeasterly flow across central Texas, favoring intense daytime heating and minimal mixing that supports afternoon maxima near 103–105 °F. Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance cluster the Austin Camp Mabry reading in this narrow window, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects separating the 102–103 °F and 104–105 °F bins that together command over 90 % of trader probability. Recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and dewpoints, while climatological August averages near 100 °F underscore the anomalous warmth without pushing odds into the 106 °F+ tail.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 21 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 21 августа?
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
93°F или ниже
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
49%
104-105°F
42%
106-107°F
8%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112°F или выше
<1%
102-103°F 49%
104-105°F 42%
106-107°F 8%
100-101°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
93°F или ниже
$55 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$33 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$178 Объем
1%
98-99°F
$49 Объем
2%
100-101°F
$5 Объем
5%
102-103°F
$61 Объем
49%
104-105°F
$172 Объем
42%
106-107°F
$5 Объем
8%
108-109°F
$103 Объем
3%
110-111°F
$101 Объем
1%
112°F или выше
$127 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence under a strong upper-level ridge have sustained clear skies and light southeasterly flow across central Texas, favoring intense daytime heating and minimal mixing that supports afternoon maxima near 103–105 °F. Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance cluster the Austin Camp Mabry reading in this narrow window, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects separating the 102–103 °F and 104–105 °F bins that together command over 90 % of trader probability. Recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and dewpoints, while climatological August averages near 100 °F underscore the anomalous warmth without pushing odds into the 106 °F+ tail.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Объем
$888Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence under a strong upper-level ridge have sustained clear skies and light southeasterly flow across central Texas, favoring intense daytime heating and minimal mixing that supports afternoon maxima near 103–105 °F. Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance cluster the Austin Camp Mabry reading in this narrow window, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects separating the 102–103 °F and 104–105 °F bins that together command over 90 % of trader probability. Recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and dewpoints, while climatological August averages near 100 °F underscore the anomalous warmth without pushing odds into the 106 °F+ tail.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$888Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and subsidence under a strong upper-level ridge have sustained clear skies and light southeasterly flow across central Texas, favoring intense daytime heating and minimal mixing that supports afternoon maxima near 103–105 °F. Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance cluster the Austin Camp Mabry reading in this narrow window, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects separating the 102–103 °F and 104–105 °F bins that together command over 90 % of trader probability. Recent model runs show modest spread in 850-hPa temperatures and dewpoints, while climatological August averages near 100 °F underscore the anomalous warmth without pushing odds into the 106 °F+ tail.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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