Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid persistent high pressure and near-record heat, yet the closely matched market probabilities around 71°F or below versus the 74–79°F brackets reflect uncertainty over tropical moisture influences noted in long-range outlooks. Cloud cover or scattered showers tied to the Aug. 23–25 tropical storm threat could limit radiative cooling and elevate the minimum, while clearer skies would allow temperatures to approach or dip below the 74°F August average low. Model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels remains the key variable, with updated National Hurricane Center guidance and local observations expected to refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 23 августа?
71°F или ниже 66%
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 33%
72-73°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
66%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F или выше
<1%
71°F или ниже 66%
74-75°F 33%
76-77°F 33%
72-73°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$25 Объем
66%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
12%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
33%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
33%
78-79°F
$5 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$5 Объем
1%
82-83°F
$10 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$543 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$165 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$304 Объем
<1%
90°F или выше
$141 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid persistent high pressure and near-record heat, yet the closely matched market probabilities around 71°F or below versus the 74–79°F brackets reflect uncertainty over tropical moisture influences noted in long-range outlooks. Cloud cover or scattered showers tied to the Aug. 23–25 tropical storm threat could limit radiative cooling and elevate the minimum, while clearer skies would allow temperatures to approach or dip below the 74°F August average low. Model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels remains the key variable, with updated National Hurricane Center guidance and local observations expected to refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,197Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid persistent high pressure and near-record heat, yet the closely matched market probabilities around 71°F or below versus the 74–79°F brackets reflect uncertainty over tropical moisture influences noted in long-range outlooks. Cloud cover or scattered showers tied to the Aug. 23–25 tropical storm threat could limit radiative cooling and elevate the minimum, while clearer skies would allow temperatures to approach or dip below the 74°F August average low. Model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels remains the key variable, with updated National Hurricane Center guidance and local observations expected to refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,197Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s for Austin on August 23 amid persistent high pressure and near-record heat, yet the closely matched market probabilities around 71°F or below versus the 74–79°F brackets reflect uncertainty over tropical moisture influences noted in long-range outlooks. Cloud cover or scattered showers tied to the Aug. 23–25 tropical storm threat could limit radiative cooling and elevate the minimum, while clearer skies would allow temperatures to approach or dip below the 74°F August average low. Model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels remains the key variable, with updated National Hurricane Center guidance and local observations expected to refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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