Persistent rain and cloud cover from active convergence zones and nearby tropical disturbances are the main drivers keeping trader focus on cooler minimums for Shenzhen on August 23. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources project overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies with frequent showers, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C averages but tempered by reduced solar heating. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and precipitation, with little support for drops below 24°C. Recent heavy rain episodes have already produced similar nighttime readings, reinforcing the market-implied tilt toward the 22°C-or-below bin while highlighting forecast uncertainty around exact cloud persistence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 23 августа?
22°C or below 86%
30°C 51%
31°C 51%
32°C or higher 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
86%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
51%
32°C or higher
50%
22°C or below 86%
30°C 51%
31°C 51%
32°C or higher 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$5 Объем
86%
23°C
$5 Объем
48%
24°C
$0 Объем
26%
25°C
$0 Объем
26%
26°C
$0 Объем
27%
27°C
$0 Объем
30%
28°C
$0 Объем
26%
29°C
$0 Объем
26%
30°C
$5 Объем
51%
31°C
$5 Объем
51%
32°C or higher
$5 Объем
50%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from active convergence zones and nearby tropical disturbances are the main drivers keeping trader focus on cooler minimums for Shenzhen on August 23. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources project overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies with frequent showers, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C averages but tempered by reduced solar heating. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and precipitation, with little support for drops below 24°C. Recent heavy rain episodes have already produced similar nighttime readings, reinforcing the market-implied tilt toward the 22°C-or-below bin while highlighting forecast uncertainty around exact cloud persistence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$25Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from active convergence zones and nearby tropical disturbances are the main drivers keeping trader focus on cooler minimums for Shenzhen on August 23. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources project overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies with frequent showers, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C averages but tempered by reduced solar heating. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and precipitation, with little support for drops below 24°C. Recent heavy rain episodes have already produced similar nighttime readings, reinforcing the market-implied tilt toward the 22°C-or-below bin while highlighting forecast uncertainty around exact cloud persistence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and cloud cover from active convergence zones and nearby tropical disturbances are the main drivers keeping trader focus on cooler minimums for Shenzhen on August 23. Official forecasts from local meteorological sources project overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies with frequent showers, consistent with August climatology of 26–27°C averages but tempered by reduced solar heating. Model consensus shows limited diurnal range due to high humidity and precipitation, with little support for drops below 24°C. Recent heavy rain episodes have already produced similar nighttime readings, reinforcing the market-implied tilt toward the 22°C-or-below bin while highlighting forecast uncertainty around exact cloud persistence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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