Current forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a daily minimum near 25°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating and promote modest overnight cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Typical August lows average 26°C, but model consensus shows enhanced convection and rainfall moderating temperatures by 1–2°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Official monitoring from regional agencies notes no extreme cold outbreaks or typhoon influences immediately altering the pattern, though forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps a smaller probability on slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 21 августа?
25°C 65%
26°C 4.9%
24°C 5%
23°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
65%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 65%
26°C 4.9%
24°C 5%
23°C or below <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$164 Объем
1%
24°C
$5 Объем
5%
25°C
$167 Объем
65%
26°C
$541 Объем
5%
27°C
$190 Объем
1%
28°C
$105 Объем
<1%
29°C
$80 Объем
<1%
30°C
$80 Объем
<1%
31°C
$80 Объем
<1%
32°C
$105 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$105 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a daily minimum near 25°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating and promote modest overnight cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Typical August lows average 26°C, but model consensus shows enhanced convection and rainfall moderating temperatures by 1–2°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Official monitoring from regional agencies notes no extreme cold outbreaks or typhoon influences immediately altering the pattern, though forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps a smaller probability on slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,622Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a daily minimum near 25°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating and promote modest overnight cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Typical August lows average 26°C, but model consensus shows enhanced convection and rainfall moderating temperatures by 1–2°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Official monitoring from regional agencies notes no extreme cold outbreaks or typhoon influences immediately altering the pattern, though forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps a smaller probability on slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,622Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a daily minimum near 25°C on August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating and promote modest overnight cooling in this subtropical monsoon climate. Typical August lows average 26°C, but model consensus shows enhanced convection and rainfall moderating temperatures by 1–2°C, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25°C and 24°C outcomes. Official monitoring from regional agencies notes no extreme cold outbreaks or typhoon influences immediately altering the pattern, though forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing keeps a smaller probability on slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to support this narrow range as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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