Recent forecast model consensus points to a daily minimum near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31 amid persistent showers and southwesterly winds of 15–20 km/h. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling overnight, while mild maritime air advection from the Atlantic maintains elevated dew points around 14–15°C. Ensemble spreads in runs from ECMWF and GFS reflect timing uncertainties in showers and wind gusts that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, aligning with the tightly grouped market probabilities around 14–16°C and lower odds on extremes below 13°C or above 17°C. Historical late-August averages near 12–13°C underscore the current warmer anomaly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 31 августа?
17°C 41%
16°C 31%
15°C 28%
14°C 28%
11°C or below
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
31%
17°C
41%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 41%
16°C 31%
15°C 28%
14°C 28%
11°C or below
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
31%
17°C
41%
18°C
15%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus points to a daily minimum near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31 amid persistent showers and southwesterly winds of 15–20 km/h. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiative cooling overnight, while mild maritime air advection from the Atlantic maintains elevated dew points around 14–15°C. Ensemble spreads in runs from ECMWF and GFS reflect timing uncertainties in showers and wind gusts that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, aligning with the tightly grouped market probabilities around 14–16°C and lower odds on extremes below 13°C or above 17°C. Historical late-August averages near 12–13°C underscore the current warmer anomaly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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