**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows on August 31 centered in the low 20s °C, producing closely matched market probabilities across 21–23°C.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Met Office (23°C minimum), WeatherBug (~23°C), and other providers (20–21°C) shows modest variability driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and radiative cooling overnight. Clear or mostly clear conditions under high pressure favor greater heat loss after sunset, while lingering moisture or light winds can limit the drop. Historical late-August averages place typical lows near 21–23°C, providing a baseline that current patterns align with closely. With resolution just two days away, incoming model updates on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions will likely tighten the range, explaining why no single outcome dominates trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 31 августа?
24°C 48%
25°C 45%
22°C 31%
23°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
31%
23°C
28%
24°C
48%
25°C
45%
26°C or higher
2%
24°C 48%
25°C 45%
22°C 31%
23°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$130 Объем
4%
17°C
$0 Объем
6%
18°C
$0 Объем
10%
19°C
$0 Объем
10%
20°C
$0 Объем
26%
21°C
$0 Объем
27%
22°C
$0 Объем
31%
23°C
$0 Объем
28%
24°C
$0 Объем
48%
25°C
$0 Объем
45%
26°C or higher
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows on August 31 centered in the low 20s °C, producing closely matched market probabilities across 21–23°C.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Met Office (23°C minimum), WeatherBug (~23°C), and other providers (20–21°C) shows modest variability driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and radiative cooling overnight.
Clear or mostly clear conditions under high pressure favor greater heat loss after sunset, while lingering moisture or light winds can limit the drop. Historical late-August averages place typical lows near 21–23°C, providing a baseline that current patterns align with closely. With resolution just two days away, incoming model updates on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions will likely tighten the range, explaining why no single outcome dominates trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$130Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows on August 31 centered in the low 20s °C, producing closely matched market probabilities across 21–23°C.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Met Office (23°C minimum), WeatherBug (~23°C), and other providers (20–21°C) shows modest variability driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and radiative cooling overnight.
Clear or mostly clear conditions under high pressure favor greater heat loss after sunset, while lingering moisture or light winds can limit the drop. Historical late-August averages place typical lows near 21–23°C, providing a baseline that current patterns align with closely. With resolution just two days away, incoming model updates on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions will likely tighten the range, explaining why no single outcome dominates trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$130Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows on August 31 centered in the low 20s °C, producing closely matched market probabilities across 21–23°C.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Met Office (23°C minimum), WeatherBug (~23°C), and other providers (20–21°C) shows modest variability driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and radiative cooling overnight. Clear or mostly clear conditions under high pressure favor greater heat loss after sunset, while lingering moisture or light winds can limit the drop. Historical late-August averages place typical lows near 21–23°C, providing a baseline that current patterns align with closely. With resolution just two days away, incoming model updates on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions will likely tighten the range, explaining why no single outcome dominates trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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