Recent forecasts from agencies including Climatempo and IPMet indicate a daily maximum of 33–34 °C in São Paulo on 29 August, driven by a stable, warm, and dry air mass advecting northward with northwesterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and low humidity that favors strong solar heating. August climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C, but this anomalous setup—absent precipitation and elevated insolation—supports the observed warming. Model runs converge on afternoon peaks near 33 °C at official stations, with limited upside risk from variable cloud cover, aligning trader-implied probabilities most heavily with 33 °C (47 %) and 34 °C (36 %).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 29 августа?
33°C 47%
34°C 38%
32°C 14%
35°C 5%
$12,710 Объем
$12,710 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
47%
34°C
38%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 38%
32°C 14%
35°C 5%
$12,710 Объем
$12,710 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
47%
34°C
38%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including Climatempo and IPMet indicate a daily maximum of 33–34 °C in São Paulo on 29 August, driven by a stable, warm, and dry air mass advecting northward with northwesterly winds, clear to partly cloudy skies, and low humidity that favors strong solar heating. August climatology shows typical maxima near 22 °C, but this anomalous setup—absent precipitation and elevated insolation—supports the observed warming. Model runs converge on afternoon peaks near 33 °C at official stations, with limited upside risk from variable cloud cover, aligning trader-implied probabilities most heavily with 33 °C (47 %) and 34 °C (36 %).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы