Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's daily minimum on August 31 will likely fall between 9–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight, though ocean-influenced air and minimal cloud cover limit extreme drops. Earlier August 2026 saw a cold front produce a recorded low of 5.3°C, contributing to trader weighting toward colder bins (5°C or below at 42% implied probability), yet consensus guidance now favors warmer outcomes near the 8–10°C range. Model spread and potential minor wind or humidity shifts introduce uncertainty ahead of final observations, keeping probabilities distributed across several thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 31 августа?
5°C or below 84%
6°C 49%
9°C 29%
8°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
84%
6°C
49%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
29%
10°C
27%
11°C
25%
12°C
2%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C or higher
2%
5°C or below 84%
6°C 49%
9°C 29%
8°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
$0 Объем
84%
6°C
$0 Объем
49%
7°C
$0 Объем
26%
8°C
$0 Объем
27%
9°C
$0 Объем
29%
10°C
$0 Объем
27%
11°C
$0 Объем
25%
12°C
$0 Объем
2%
13°C
$0 Объем
9%
14°C
$0 Объем
9%
15°C or higher
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's daily minimum on August 31 will likely fall between 9–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight, though ocean-influenced air and minimal cloud cover limit extreme drops. Earlier August 2026 saw a cold front produce a recorded low of 5.3°C, contributing to trader weighting toward colder bins (5°C or below at 42% implied probability), yet consensus guidance now favors warmer outcomes near the 8–10°C range. Model spread and potential minor wind or humidity shifts introduce uncertainty ahead of final observations, keeping probabilities distributed across several thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's daily minimum on August 31 will likely fall between 9–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight, though ocean-influenced air and minimal cloud cover limit extreme drops. Earlier August 2026 saw a cold front produce a recorded low of 5.3°C, contributing to trader weighting toward colder bins (5°C or below at 42% implied probability), yet consensus guidance now favors warmer outcomes near the 8–10°C range. Model spread and potential minor wind or humidity shifts introduce uncertainty ahead of final observations, keeping probabilities distributed across several thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's daily minimum on August 31 will likely fall between 9–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling overnight, though ocean-influenced air and minimal cloud cover limit extreme drops. Earlier August 2026 saw a cold front produce a recorded low of 5.3°C, contributing to trader weighting toward colder bins (5°C or below at 42% implied probability), yet consensus guidance now favors warmer outcomes near the 8–10°C range. Model spread and potential minor wind or humidity shifts introduce uncertainty ahead of final observations, keeping probabilities distributed across several thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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