Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Shenzhen on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical maritime climate. Light northeast winds and elevated dew points around 25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with August climatology where average lows reach 25°C. The tight market split between 26°C and 22°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, as heavier overnight precipitation could enhance evaporative cooling enough to dip toward the lower range while clearer intervals would favor the warmer outcome. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 31 августа?
32°C or higher 82%
25°C 49%
28°C 47%
29°C 46%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
42%
23°C
42%
24°C
34%
25°C
49%
26°C
44%
27°C
26%
28°C
47%
29°C
46%
30°C
2%
31°C
44%
32°C or higher
82%
32°C or higher 82%
25°C 49%
28°C 47%
29°C 46%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$0 Объем
42%
23°C
$0 Объем
42%
24°C
$0 Объем
34%
25°C
$0 Объем
49%
26°C
$0 Объем
44%
27°C
$0 Объем
26%
28°C
$0 Объем
47%
29°C
$0 Объем
46%
30°C
$0 Объем
2%
31°C
$0 Объем
44%
32°C or higher
$130 Объем
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Shenzhen on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical maritime climate. Light northeast winds and elevated dew points around 25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with August climatology where average lows reach 25°C. The tight market split between 26°C and 22°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, as heavier overnight precipitation could enhance evaporative cooling enough to dip toward the lower range while clearer intervals would favor the warmer outcome. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$130Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Shenzhen on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical maritime climate. Light northeast winds and elevated dew points around 25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with August climatology where average lows reach 25°C. The tight market split between 26°C and 22°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, as heavier overnight precipitation could enhance evaporative cooling enough to dip toward the lower range while clearer intervals would favor the warmer outcome. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$130Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Shenzhen on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical maritime climate. Light northeast winds and elevated dew points around 25°C further suppress temperature drops, consistent with August climatology where average lows reach 25°C. The tight market split between 26°C and 22°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity, as heavier overnight precipitation could enhance evaporative cooling enough to dip toward the lower range while clearer intervals would favor the warmer outcome. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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