Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington’s overnight minimum on August 29 will most likely fall between 9–11 °C under clearing skies and moderating northwesterly flow following strong northerlies on the 28th. Radiative cooling under partly clear conditions, combined with residual wind mixing, creates the narrow uncertainty captured by the tightly bunched market prices around these values. Historical climatology for late August shows typical minima near 9–10 °C, while current model consensus and the absence of significant cold-air advection keep probabilities for 8 °C or lower below 2 %. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 29 августа?
13°C 49%
11°C 27%
10°C 27%
9°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
23%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
49%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
11°C 27%
10°C 27%
9°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 авг. 2026 г.
6°C or below
$16 Объем
1%
7°C
$174 Объем
2%
8°C
$72 Объем
23%
9°C
$26 Объем
26%
10°C
$0 Объем
27%
11°C
$20 Объем
27%
12°C
$16 Объем
26%
13°C
$47 Объем
49%
14°C
$30 Объем
<1%
15°C
$35 Объем
<1%
16°C or higher
$35 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington’s overnight minimum on August 29 will most likely fall between 9–11 °C under clearing skies and moderating northwesterly flow following strong northerlies on the 28th. Radiative cooling under partly clear conditions, combined with residual wind mixing, creates the narrow uncertainty captured by the tightly bunched market prices around these values. Historical climatology for late August shows typical minima near 9–10 °C, while current model consensus and the absence of significant cold-air advection keep probabilities for 8 °C or lower below 2 %. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$471Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington’s overnight minimum on August 29 will most likely fall between 9–11 °C under clearing skies and moderating northwesterly flow following strong northerlies on the 28th. Radiative cooling under partly clear conditions, combined with residual wind mixing, creates the narrow uncertainty captured by the tightly bunched market prices around these values. Historical climatology for late August shows typical minima near 9–10 °C, while current model consensus and the absence of significant cold-air advection keep probabilities for 8 °C or lower below 2 %. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$471Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington’s overnight minimum on August 29 will most likely fall between 9–11 °C under clearing skies and moderating northwesterly flow following strong northerlies on the 28th. Radiative cooling under partly clear conditions, combined with residual wind mixing, creates the narrow uncertainty captured by the tightly bunched market prices around these values. Historical climatology for late August shows typical minima near 9–10 °C, while current model consensus and the absence of significant cold-air advection keep probabilities for 8 °C or lower below 2 %. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы