**Persistent warm, humid conditions with cloud cover and light showers are anchoring Shanghai's overnight low near 27°C on August 30.** Multiple authoritative forecasts, including those from the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional Chinese meteorological sources, show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 27°C amid southeasterly flow and high dew points near 25–26°C. This limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, keeping the minimum above the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this model agreement on minimal overnight drop from daytime highs of 31–32°C. The lower 13% odds on 28°C and single-digit shares for 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or shower timing, though no major cooling mechanism (such as a frontal passage) is indicated in current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 30 августа?
27°C 76%
28°C 14%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
76%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 14%
25°C 9%
26°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$5 Объем
<1%
23°C
$5 Объем
1%
24°C
$5 Объем
1%
25°C
$0 Объем
9%
26°C
$310 Объем
3%
27°C
$856 Объем
76%
28°C
$2,682 Объем
14%
29°C
$58 Объем
2%
30°C
$5 Объем
1%
31°C
$5 Объем
1%
32°C or higher
$21 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with cloud cover and light showers are anchoring Shanghai's overnight low near 27°C on August 30.** Multiple authoritative forecasts, including those from the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional Chinese meteorological sources, show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 27°C amid southeasterly flow and high dew points near 25–26°C. This limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, keeping the minimum above the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C.
Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this model agreement on minimal overnight drop from daytime highs of 31–32°C. The lower 13% odds on 28°C and single-digit shares for 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or shower timing, though no major cooling mechanism (such as a frontal passage) is indicated in current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,951Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with cloud cover and light showers are anchoring Shanghai's overnight low near 27°C on August 30.** Multiple authoritative forecasts, including those from the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional Chinese meteorological sources, show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 27°C amid southeasterly flow and high dew points near 25–26°C. This limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, keeping the minimum above the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C.
Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this model agreement on minimal overnight drop from daytime highs of 31–32°C. The lower 13% odds on 28°C and single-digit shares for 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or shower timing, though no major cooling mechanism (such as a frontal passage) is indicated in current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,951Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions with cloud cover and light showers are anchoring Shanghai's overnight low near 27°C on August 30.** Multiple authoritative forecasts, including those from the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional Chinese meteorological sources, show nighttime temperatures stabilizing around 27°C amid southeasterly flow and high dew points near 25–26°C. This limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and scattered precipitation, keeping the minimum above the late-August climatological average of ~25–26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with this model agreement on minimal overnight drop from daytime highs of 31–32°C. The lower 13% odds on 28°C and single-digit shares for 25–26°C capture residual uncertainty from possible variations in cloud thickness or shower timing, though no major cooling mechanism (such as a frontal passage) is indicated in current guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data points ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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