Current National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 24 point to mostly sunny skies and a high near 79°F, aligning with trader emphasis on the 78-79°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the closely trailing 76-77°F range. Light northerly winds, low humidity, and stable high pressure have limited daytime heating below seasonal normals of 82°F, while recent model runs show minimal spread and no strong warm advection. These conditions reflect typical late-summer moderation in the region, where clear skies and modest mixing support highs clustered in the upper 70s rather than the broader historical variability. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 24 августа?
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 2%
80-81°F 2%
$12,612 Объем
$12,612 Объем
69°F или ниже
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
55%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F или выше
<1%
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 2%
80-81°F 2%
$12,612 Объем
$12,612 Объем
69°F или ниже
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
55%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 24 point to mostly sunny skies and a high near 79°F, aligning with trader emphasis on the 78-79°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the closely trailing 76-77°F range. Light northerly winds, low humidity, and stable high pressure have limited daytime heating below seasonal normals of 82°F, while recent model runs show minimal spread and no strong warm advection. These conditions reflect typical late-summer moderation in the region, where clear skies and modest mixing support highs clustered in the upper 70s rather than the broader historical variability. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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