Current forecasts and climatological data for late August place São Paulo’s daily maximum near 21–22°C at the Guarulhos station, driving the market’s 33% implied probability on 21°C and 20.5% on 22°C. Synoptic patterns typical of the Southern Hemisphere winter—weak high pressure, variable cloud cover, and occasional cold-front passages—create the observed spread, with cooler 20°C or 19°C outcomes favored if stronger advection arrives today. Warmer 23–24°C results remain possible under clearer skies and reduced mixing, though model consensus and historical analogs limit those odds. Traders are weighting real-time surface observations, INMET updates, and ensemble guidance on boundary-layer temperature, acknowledging that small shifts in wind or insolation can move the daily peak across the narrow resolution bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 25 августа?
21°C 33%
22°C 21%
20°C 20%
19°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
1%
19°C
13%
20°C
20%
21°C
33%
22°C
21%
23°C
11%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 33%
22°C 21%
20°C 20%
19°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$214 Объем
1%
19°C
$1,080 Объем
13%
20°C
$1,321 Объем
20%
21°C
$1,327 Объем
33%
22°C
$1,406 Объем
21%
23°C
$1,337 Объем
11%
24°C
$903 Объем
5%
25°C
$559 Объем
1%
26°C
$361 Объем
<1%
27°C
$217 Объем
<1%
28°C or higher
$288 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and climatological data for late August place São Paulo’s daily maximum near 21–22°C at the Guarulhos station, driving the market’s 33% implied probability on 21°C and 20.5% on 22°C. Synoptic patterns typical of the Southern Hemisphere winter—weak high pressure, variable cloud cover, and occasional cold-front passages—create the observed spread, with cooler 20°C or 19°C outcomes favored if stronger advection arrives today. Warmer 23–24°C results remain possible under clearer skies and reduced mixing, though model consensus and historical analogs limit those odds. Traders are weighting real-time surface observations, INMET updates, and ensemble guidance on boundary-layer temperature, acknowledging that small shifts in wind or insolation can move the daily peak across the narrow resolution bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Объем
$9,014Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and climatological data for late August place São Paulo’s daily maximum near 21–22°C at the Guarulhos station, driving the market’s 33% implied probability on 21°C and 20.5% on 22°C. Synoptic patterns typical of the Southern Hemisphere winter—weak high pressure, variable cloud cover, and occasional cold-front passages—create the observed spread, with cooler 20°C or 19°C outcomes favored if stronger advection arrives today. Warmer 23–24°C results remain possible under clearer skies and reduced mixing, though model consensus and historical analogs limit those odds. Traders are weighting real-time surface observations, INMET updates, and ensemble guidance on boundary-layer temperature, acknowledging that small shifts in wind or insolation can move the daily peak across the narrow resolution bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,014Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts and climatological data for late August place São Paulo’s daily maximum near 21–22°C at the Guarulhos station, driving the market’s 33% implied probability on 21°C and 20.5% on 22°C. Synoptic patterns typical of the Southern Hemisphere winter—weak high pressure, variable cloud cover, and occasional cold-front passages—create the observed spread, with cooler 20°C or 19°C outcomes favored if stronger advection arrives today. Warmer 23–24°C results remain possible under clearer skies and reduced mixing, though model consensus and historical analogs limit those odds. Traders are weighting real-time surface observations, INMET updates, and ensemble guidance on boundary-layer temperature, acknowledging that small shifts in wind or insolation can move the daily peak across the narrow resolution bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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