Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent model runs and regional guidance converge on 8–10°C overnight readings after daytime highs near 20°C, consistent with cooler-than-average late-summer conditions. Traders appear to treat the consensus forecast and historical measurement practices at official stations as the dominant resolution driver. A meaningful shift would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or station-specific anomaly pushing the verified minimum below 7°C or above 10°C before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 28 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 28 августа?
9°C 96%
6°C or below 10%
7°C 8%
8°C 4.3%
$3,198 Объем
$3,198 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
6°C or below
10%
7°C
8%
8°C
4%
9°C
96%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 96%
6°C or below 10%
7°C 8%
8°C 4.3%
$3,198 Объем
$3,198 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
6°C or below
$177 Объем
10%
7°C
$115 Объем
8%
8°C
$911 Объем
4%
9°C
$236 Объем
96%
10°C
$190 Объем
<1%
11°C
$183 Объем
<1%
12°C
$228 Объем
<1%
13°C
$30 Объем
<1%
14°C
$117 Объем
<1%
15°C
$115 Объем
<1%
16°C or higher
$897 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent model runs and regional guidance converge on 8–10°C overnight readings after daytime highs near 20°C, consistent with cooler-than-average late-summer conditions. Traders appear to treat the consensus forecast and historical measurement practices at official stations as the dominant resolution driver. A meaningful shift would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or station-specific anomaly pushing the verified minimum below 7°C or above 10°C before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,198Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent model runs and regional guidance converge on 8–10°C overnight readings after daytime highs near 20°C, consistent with cooler-than-average late-summer conditions. Traders appear to treat the consensus forecast and historical measurement practices at official stations as the dominant resolution driver. A meaningful shift would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or station-specific anomaly pushing the verified minimum below 7°C or above 10°C before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,198Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent model runs and regional guidance converge on 8–10°C overnight readings after daytime highs near 20°C, consistent with cooler-than-average late-summer conditions. Traders appear to treat the consensus forecast and historical measurement practices at official stations as the dominant resolution driver. A meaningful shift would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or station-specific anomaly pushing the verified minimum below 7°C or above 10°C before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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