**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a low in the mid-50s°F for San Francisco on August 30, 2026, driven by the typical late-summer marine layer and Pacific Ocean moderation that keeps overnight temperatures stable.** Consistent runs show lows near 55°F, with highs in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds. This aligns with the August climatological average low of about 56°F and recent observations from the prior night, which bottomed in the mid-50s amid clear to partly cloudy conditions and no significant synoptic changes. Trader consensus heavily favors the 56-57°F bin (44.5% implied probability) as the resolution range, followed by 58-59°F and 54-55°F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical for this well-observed urban coastal site. No major model divergence or unusual atmospheric features (such as stronger onshore flow or offshore warming) appear in the latest guidance to shift odds meaningfully.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 30 августа?
56-57°F 45%
58-59°F 32%
54-55°F 22%
62-63°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
45%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
10%
66°F или выше
<1%
56-57°F 45%
58-59°F 32%
54-55°F 22%
62-63°F 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
$263 Объем
<1%
48-49°F
$31 Объем
<1%
50-51°F
$54 Объем
8%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
19%
54-55°F
$115 Объем
22%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
45%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
32%
60-61°F
$62 Объем
22%
62-63°F
$20 Объем
22%
64-65°F
$87 Объем
10%
66°F или выше
$10 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a low in the mid-50s°F for San Francisco on August 30, 2026, driven by the typical late-summer marine layer and Pacific Ocean moderation that keeps overnight temperatures stable.**
Consistent runs show lows near 55°F, with highs in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds. This aligns with the August climatological average low of about 56°F and recent observations from the prior night, which bottomed in the mid-50s amid clear to partly cloudy conditions and no significant synoptic changes.
Trader consensus heavily favors the 56-57°F bin (44.5% implied probability) as the resolution range, followed by 58-59°F and 54-55°F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical for this well-observed urban coastal site. No major model divergence or unusual atmospheric features (such as stronger onshore flow or offshore warming) appear in the latest guidance to shift odds meaningfully.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$642Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a low in the mid-50s°F for San Francisco on August 30, 2026, driven by the typical late-summer marine layer and Pacific Ocean moderation that keeps overnight temperatures stable.**
Consistent runs show lows near 55°F, with highs in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds. This aligns with the August climatological average low of about 56°F and recent observations from the prior night, which bottomed in the mid-50s amid clear to partly cloudy conditions and no significant synoptic changes.
Trader consensus heavily favors the 56-57°F bin (44.5% implied probability) as the resolution range, followed by 58-59°F and 54-55°F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical for this well-observed urban coastal site. No major model divergence or unusual atmospheric features (such as stronger onshore flow or offshore warming) appear in the latest guidance to shift odds meaningfully.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$642Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a low in the mid-50s°F for San Francisco on August 30, 2026, driven by the typical late-summer marine layer and Pacific Ocean moderation that keeps overnight temperatures stable.** Consistent runs show lows near 55°F, with highs in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds. This aligns with the August climatological average low of about 56°F and recent observations from the prior night, which bottomed in the mid-50s amid clear to partly cloudy conditions and no significant synoptic changes. Trader consensus heavily favors the 56-57°F bin (44.5% implied probability) as the resolution range, followed by 58-59°F and 54-55°F, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical for this well-observed urban coastal site. No major model divergence or unusual atmospheric features (such as stronger onshore flow or offshore warming) appear in the latest guidance to shift odds meaningfully.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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