National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on August 30 projects a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, maintained by the persistent marine layer, strong onshore flow, and cool coastal waters from upwelling near 55–58°F. This setup typically suppresses temperatures 3–4°F below the 69.8°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favoring the 68–69°F bin (35.5%) over 66–67°F (22.5%) reflect trader assessments of modest model spread in afternoon stratus thinning and wind speed, where lighter flow or brief clearing could add 2–3°F while deeper marine influence would anchor readings lower; ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows limited divergence ahead of the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 30 августа?
68-69°F 36%
70–71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
<1%
60–61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
36%
70–71°F
26%
72-73°F
4%
74–75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F или выше
<1%
68-69°F 36%
70–71°F 26%
66-67°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
$268 Объем
<1%
60–61°F
$115 Объем
2%
62-63°F
$41 Объем
4%
64-65°F
$179 Объем
9%
66-67°F
$286 Объем
22%
68-69°F
$380 Объем
36%
70–71°F
$916 Объем
26%
72-73°F
$406 Объем
4%
74–75°F
$103 Объем
2%
76-77°F
$25 Объем
1%
78°F или выше
$210 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on August 30 projects a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, maintained by the persistent marine layer, strong onshore flow, and cool coastal waters from upwelling near 55–58°F. This setup typically suppresses temperatures 3–4°F below the 69.8°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favoring the 68–69°F bin (35.5%) over 66–67°F (22.5%) reflect trader assessments of modest model spread in afternoon stratus thinning and wind speed, where lighter flow or brief clearing could add 2–3°F while deeper marine influence would anchor readings lower; ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows limited divergence ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Объем
$2,930Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on August 30 projects a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, maintained by the persistent marine layer, strong onshore flow, and cool coastal waters from upwelling near 55–58°F. This setup typically suppresses temperatures 3–4°F below the 69.8°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favoring the 68–69°F bin (35.5%) over 66–67°F (22.5%) reflect trader assessments of modest model spread in afternoon stratus thinning and wind speed, where lighter flow or brief clearing could add 2–3°F while deeper marine influence would anchor readings lower; ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows limited divergence ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,930Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for San Francisco on August 30 projects a partly cloudy day with a high near 66°F, maintained by the persistent marine layer, strong onshore flow, and cool coastal waters from upwelling near 55–58°F. This setup typically suppresses temperatures 3–4°F below the 69.8°F climatological average. Market-implied odds favoring the 68–69°F bin (35.5%) over 66–67°F (22.5%) reflect trader assessments of modest model spread in afternoon stratus thinning and wind speed, where lighter flow or brief clearing could add 2–3°F while deeper marine influence would anchor readings lower; ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows limited divergence ahead of the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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