**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an upper-80s high for Chicago on August 30, driven by south-southwest flow at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph that promotes mixing under partly to mostly cloudy skies.** This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around the 84-87°F bins (over 50% combined implied probability), as daytime heating is moderated by increasing clouds and a slight morning shower chance that could limit peak insolation. The date’s climatological average near 81°F underscores the current warm anomaly, while resolution hinges on the official NOAA hourly maximum at O’Hare. Model spreads and convective timing introduce the main uncertainty for whether the high settles in the mid- or upper-80s range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 30 августа?
84-85°F 28%
30-31°C 26%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
28%
30-31°C
26%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96°F или выше
<1%
84-85°F 28%
30-31°C 26%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
$127 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$144 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$153 Объем
6%
82-83°F
$335 Объем
18%
84-85°F
$140 Объем
28%
30-31°C
$169 Объем
26%
88-89°F
$270 Объем
16%
90-91°F
$32 Объем
6%
92-93°F
$0 Объем
3%
94-95°F
$0 Объем
1%
96°F или выше
$353 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an upper-80s high for Chicago on August 30, driven by south-southwest flow at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph that promotes mixing under partly to mostly cloudy skies.** This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around the 84-87°F bins (over 50% combined implied probability), as daytime heating is moderated by increasing clouds and a slight morning shower chance that could limit peak insolation. The date’s climatological average near 81°F underscores the current warm anomaly, while resolution hinges on the official NOAA hourly maximum at O’Hare. Model spreads and convective timing introduce the main uncertainty for whether the high settles in the mid- or upper-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,723Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an upper-80s high for Chicago on August 30, driven by south-southwest flow at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph that promotes mixing under partly to mostly cloudy skies.** This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around the 84-87°F bins (over 50% combined implied probability), as daytime heating is moderated by increasing clouds and a slight morning shower chance that could limit peak insolation. The date’s climatological average near 81°F underscores the current warm anomaly, while resolution hinges on the official NOAA hourly maximum at O’Hare. Model spreads and convective timing introduce the main uncertainty for whether the high settles in the mid- or upper-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,723Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to an upper-80s high for Chicago on August 30, driven by south-southwest flow at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph that promotes mixing under partly to mostly cloudy skies.** This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around the 84-87°F bins (over 50% combined implied probability), as daytime heating is moderated by increasing clouds and a slight morning shower chance that could limit peak insolation. The date’s climatological average near 81°F underscores the current warm anomaly, while resolution hinges on the official NOAA hourly maximum at O’Hare. Model spreads and convective timing introduce the main uncertainty for whether the high settles in the mid- or upper-80s range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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