A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving above-average temperatures in São Paulo on August 28, with official forecasts from sources like Climatempo and Met Office projecting a daily maximum near 30–32°C under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, positioning 32°C as the leading market outcome at 55% implied probability. Nearby probabilities for 31°C and 33°C reflect minor variations across numerical weather models regarding peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August highs average closer to 22–25°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this stable pattern ahead of an expected frontal passage early next week. Traders are weighting the consensus high-end forecast while monitoring real-time observations for any late-day adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 28 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 28 августа?
32°C 54%
31°C 26%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
$17,729 Объем
$17,729 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
54%
33°C
14%
34°C or higher
2%
32°C 54%
31°C 26%
33°C 14%
30°C 12%
$17,729 Объем
$17,729 Объем
28 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$3,159 Объем
1%
25°C
$2,064 Объем
<1%
26°C
$887 Объем
<1%
27°C
$2,303 Объем
<1%
28°C
$281 Объем
1%
29°C
$614 Объем
2%
30°C
$1,220 Объем
12%
31°C
$2,179 Объем
26%
32°C
$1,855 Объем
54%
33°C
$2,511 Объем
14%
34°C or higher
$747 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving above-average temperatures in São Paulo on August 28, with official forecasts from sources like Climatempo and Met Office projecting a daily maximum near 30–32°C under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, positioning 32°C as the leading market outcome at 55% implied probability. Nearby probabilities for 31°C and 33°C reflect minor variations across numerical weather models regarding peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August highs average closer to 22–25°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this stable pattern ahead of an expected frontal passage early next week. Traders are weighting the consensus high-end forecast while monitoring real-time observations for any late-day adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Объем
$17,729Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving above-average temperatures in São Paulo on August 28, with official forecasts from sources like Climatempo and Met Office projecting a daily maximum near 30–32°C under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, positioning 32°C as the leading market outcome at 55% implied probability. Nearby probabilities for 31°C and 33°C reflect minor variations across numerical weather models regarding peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August highs average closer to 22–25°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this stable pattern ahead of an expected frontal passage early next week. Traders are weighting the consensus high-end forecast while monitoring real-time observations for any late-day adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,729Дата окончания
28 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A warm, dry air mass over southeastern Brazil is driving above-average temperatures in São Paulo on August 28, with official forecasts from sources like Climatempo and Met Office projecting a daily maximum near 30–32°C under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation, positioning 32°C as the leading market outcome at 55% implied probability. Nearby probabilities for 31°C and 33°C reflect minor variations across numerical weather models regarding peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August highs average closer to 22–25°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this stable pattern ahead of an expected frontal passage early next week. Traders are weighting the consensus high-end forecast while monitoring real-time observations for any late-day adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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