Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a Thursday overnight low near 59–60°F in San Francisco, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that limits radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with typical late-August conditions, where average lows hover around 56°F amid moderate west winds of 10–20 mph, though recent days have seen slightly warmer readings near 57–62°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 58–61°F bins because small differences in stratus timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, while historical data show rare drops below 54°F this time of year. Updated model runs and official observations through early Thursday will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 27 августа?
60-61°F 51%
54-55°F 49%
66-67°F 35%
68-69°F 35%
51°F or below
28%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
35%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
35%
70°F or higher
3%
60-61°F 51%
54-55°F 49%
66-67°F 35%
68-69°F 35%
51°F or below
28%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
35%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
35%
70°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a Thursday overnight low near 59–60°F in San Francisco, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that limits radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with typical late-August conditions, where average lows hover around 56°F amid moderate west winds of 10–20 mph, though recent days have seen slightly warmer readings near 57–62°F. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 58–61°F bins because small differences in stratus timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, while historical data show rare drops below 54°F this time of year. Updated model runs and official observations through early Thursday will refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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