Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicate a stable post-frontal high-pressure regime over Chicago on August 27, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds near 5 mph, and dew points in the upper 50s supporting radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s at official stations such as O’Hare, consistent with climatological norms of 65 °F for late August. Trader consensus clusters on the 62–65 °F bins because model spreads remain modest (typically ±2–3 °F) and urban heat-island effects limit further drops, while lower-probability tails reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of minimum readings. New model cycles and local observations tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чикаго 27 августа?
64-65°F 31%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 29%
58-59°F 25%
55°F or below
5%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
15%
74°F or higher
4%
64-65°F 31%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 29%
58-59°F 25%
55°F or below
5%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
15%
74°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicate a stable post-frontal high-pressure regime over Chicago on August 27, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds near 5 mph, and dew points in the upper 50s supporting radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors a minimum temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s at official stations such as O’Hare, consistent with climatological norms of 65 °F for late August. Trader consensus clusters on the 62–65 °F bins because model spreads remain modest (typically ±2–3 °F) and urban heat-island effects limit further drops, while lower-probability tails reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of minimum readings. New model cycles and local observations tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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