Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies and a high probability of afternoon thunderstorms over Mexico City on September 1, driven by the ongoing rainy season and orographic lift from the surrounding mountains. This convective activity, combined with the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates surface heating, typically caps daily maxima near the 23–24°C seasonal average by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 42% implied probability for 24°C and 24.5% for 23°C, aligns with these conditions rather than outlier warmer scenarios, though slight model differences in timing of cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 22–25°C window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 1 сентября?
24°C 42%
23°C 24%
25°C 22%
21°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
13%
23°C
24%
24°C
42%
25°C
22%
26°C или выше
7%
24°C 42%
23°C 24%
25°C 22%
21°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
17°C
$0 Объем
<1%
18°C
$0 Объем
4%
19°C
$0 Объем
4%
20°C
$0 Объем
4%
21°C
$0 Объем
16%
22°C
$13 Объем
13%
23°C
$7 Объем
24%
24°C
$55 Объем
42%
25°C
$0 Объем
22%
26°C или выше
$0 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies and a high probability of afternoon thunderstorms over Mexico City on September 1, driven by the ongoing rainy season and orographic lift from the surrounding mountains. This convective activity, combined with the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates surface heating, typically caps daily maxima near the 23–24°C seasonal average by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 42% implied probability for 24°C and 24.5% for 23°C, aligns with these conditions rather than outlier warmer scenarios, though slight model differences in timing of cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 22–25°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$75Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies and a high probability of afternoon thunderstorms over Mexico City on September 1, driven by the ongoing rainy season and orographic lift from the surrounding mountains. This convective activity, combined with the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates surface heating, typically caps daily maxima near the 23–24°C seasonal average by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 42% implied probability for 24°C and 24.5% for 23°C, aligns with these conditions rather than outlier warmer scenarios, though slight model differences in timing of cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 22–25°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$75Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly cloudy skies and a high probability of afternoon thunderstorms over Mexico City on September 1, driven by the ongoing rainy season and orographic lift from the surrounding mountains. This convective activity, combined with the city's 2,240-meter elevation that moderates surface heating, typically caps daily maxima near the 23–24°C seasonal average by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 42% implied probability for 24°C and 24.5% for 23°C, aligns with these conditions rather than outlier warmer scenarios, though slight model differences in timing of cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 22–25°C window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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