Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers on September 3, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near 30–32 °C. Persistent monsoon moisture and light northerly flow maintain high humidity and modest wind speeds, reducing the likelihood of rapid afternoon warming compared with clearer historical analogs averaging 32.8 °C. Trader positioning clusters on 30–31 °C outcomes because model spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk if convection clears earlier than expected or downside if heavier rain develops; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Guangzhou reference station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 3 сентября?
31°C 22%
30°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 14%
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
11%
28°C
10%
29°C
21%
30°C
22%
31°C
22%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 22%
30°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 14%
25°C или ниже
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
11%
28°C
10%
29°C
21%
30°C
22%
31°C
22%
32°C
14%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers on September 3, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum near 30–32 °C. Persistent monsoon moisture and light northerly flow maintain high humidity and modest wind speeds, reducing the likelihood of rapid afternoon warming compared with clearer historical analogs averaging 32.8 °C. Trader positioning clusters on 30–31 °C outcomes because model spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk if convection clears earlier than expected or downside if heavier rain develops; resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Guangzhou reference station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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