Recent forecasts for Tokyo on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a high near 29–31°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 30°C (33.5%) and 31°C (26%). The Japan Meteorological Agency’s observational record will determine the exact maximum, influenced by afternoon solar heating under variable cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and any scattered showers that could suppress peak readings. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs around 30°C as the monsoon trough weakens, with model consensus supporting minimal deviation absent stronger steering flows or unexpected convection. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature trajectory ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 1 сентября?
30°C 34%
31°C 26%
29°C 18%
32°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
26%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 26%
29°C 18%
32°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
26%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Tokyo on September 1 indicate partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and a high near 29–31°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for 30°C (33.5%) and 31°C (26%). The Japan Meteorological Agency’s observational record will determine the exact maximum, influenced by afternoon solar heating under variable cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and any scattered showers that could suppress peak readings. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs around 30°C as the monsoon trough weakens, with model consensus supporting minimal deviation absent stronger steering flows or unexpected convection. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature trajectory ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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