Recent weather model consensus from sources including MetService and international forecasts points to a maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 1, driven by a transition from mild northwesterly flow to cooler southwesterlies with patchy rain and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 13°C provide context, while current atmospheric patterns—including wind direction shifts and modest sea-surface influences—limit significant warming or cooling extremes. Market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C over lower outcomes reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model adjustments in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 1 сентября?
14°C 52%
13°C 33%
15°C 11%
12°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
33%
14°C
52%
15°C
11%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
13°C 33%
15°C 11%
12°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$266 Объем
<1%
9°C
$276 Объем
<1%
10°C
$30 Объем
1%
11°C
$0 Объем
4%
12°C
$11 Объем
5%
13°C
$103 Объем
33%
14°C
$83 Объем
52%
15°C
$18 Объем
11%
16°C
$0 Объем
<1%
17°C
$71 Объем
<1%
18°C or higher
$266 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including MetService and international forecasts points to a maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 1, driven by a transition from mild northwesterly flow to cooler southwesterlies with patchy rain and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 13°C provide context, while current atmospheric patterns—including wind direction shifts and modest sea-surface influences—limit significant warming or cooling extremes. Market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C over lower outcomes reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model adjustments in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,124Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including MetService and international forecasts points to a maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 1, driven by a transition from mild northwesterly flow to cooler southwesterlies with patchy rain and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 13°C provide context, while current atmospheric patterns—including wind direction shifts and modest sea-surface influences—limit significant warming or cooling extremes. Market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C over lower outcomes reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model adjustments in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,124Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including MetService and international forecasts points to a maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 1, driven by a transition from mild northwesterly flow to cooler southwesterlies with patchy rain and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 13°C provide context, while current atmospheric patterns—including wind direction shifts and modest sea-surface influences—limit significant warming or cooling extremes. Market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C over lower outcomes reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty and potential model adjustments in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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