Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered rain, and easterly flow ahead of a stronger system arriving September 2. Typical early-September climatology features highs around 28–30°C with high humidity, and current conditions—afternoon readings near 32°C on August 30—suggest modest cooling from reduced insolation and possible showers rather than strong advection. Market-implied probabilities align with this consensus, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the expected suppression of peak heating; updated model outputs and official NMC briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 1 сентября?
30°C 44%
31°C 29%
29°C 22%
32°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
22%
30°C
44%
31°C
29%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 29%
29°C 22%
32°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$409 Объем
<1%
26°C
$305 Объем
1%
27°C
$385 Объем
1%
28°C
$159 Объем
3%
29°C
$648 Объем
22%
30°C
$286 Объем
44%
31°C
$278 Объем
29%
32°C
$290 Объем
6%
33°C
$55 Объем
1%
34°C
$43 Объем
<1%
35°C or higher
$257 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered rain, and easterly flow ahead of a stronger system arriving September 2. Typical early-September climatology features highs around 28–30°C with high humidity, and current conditions—afternoon readings near 32°C on August 30—suggest modest cooling from reduced insolation and possible showers rather than strong advection. Market-implied probabilities align with this consensus, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the expected suppression of peak heating; updated model outputs and official NMC briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,116Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered rain, and easterly flow ahead of a stronger system arriving September 2. Typical early-September climatology features highs around 28–30°C with high humidity, and current conditions—afternoon readings near 32°C on August 30—suggest modest cooling from reduced insolation and possible showers rather than strong advection. Market-implied probabilities align with this consensus, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the expected suppression of peak heating; updated model outputs and official NMC briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,116Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 30–31°C for Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered rain, and easterly flow ahead of a stronger system arriving September 2. Typical early-September climatology features highs around 28–30°C with high humidity, and current conditions—afternoon readings near 32°C on August 30—suggest modest cooling from reduced insolation and possible showers rather than strong advection. Market-implied probabilities align with this consensus, with lower odds on 32°C+ reflecting the expected suppression of peak heating; updated model outputs and official NMC briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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