Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Shanghai's overnight low on September 1 near 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture and moderate southeasterly flow off the East China Sea. Historical early-September minima average around 22°C, but persistent warm advection and dew points near 24–25°C have kept recent nights elevated, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C (51% implied). Traders appear to discount sharper cooling unless stronger frontal passage develops, with fresh model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance due before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 1 сентября?
26°C 51%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
23°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
14%
25°C
22%
26°C
51%
27°C
25%
28°C
12%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
23°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$0 Объем
1%
22°C
$0 Объем
1%
23°C
$0 Объем
15%
24°C
$0 Объем
14%
25°C
$0 Объем
22%
26°C
$174 Объем
51%
27°C
$0 Объем
25%
28°C
$0 Объем
12%
29°C
$0 Объем
1%
30°C
$0 Объем
1%
31°C or higher
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Shanghai's overnight low on September 1 near 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture and moderate southeasterly flow off the East China Sea. Historical early-September minima average around 22°C, but persistent warm advection and dew points near 24–25°C have kept recent nights elevated, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C (51% implied). Traders appear to discount sharper cooling unless stronger frontal passage develops, with fresh model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance due before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$174Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Shanghai's overnight low on September 1 near 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture and moderate southeasterly flow off the East China Sea. Historical early-September minima average around 22°C, but persistent warm advection and dew points near 24–25°C have kept recent nights elevated, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C (51% implied). Traders appear to discount sharper cooling unless stronger frontal passage develops, with fresh model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance due before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$174Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Shanghai's overnight low on September 1 near 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture and moderate southeasterly flow off the East China Sea. Historical early-September minima average around 22°C, but persistent warm advection and dew points near 24–25°C have kept recent nights elevated, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C (51% implied). Traders appear to discount sharper cooling unless stronger frontal passage develops, with fresh model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance due before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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