Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate moderating temperatures in Wuhan due to peripheral influences from Typhoon Shadell, delivering northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered rainfall through early September. This pattern aligns with the seasonal shift from peak summer heat, where historical early-September highs average near 30°C, toward cooler autumn conditions. Model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–30°C on September 1, with minor variations arising from exact timing of cloud breaks or precipitation intensity. Traders price outcomes tightly around these values because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show limited spread, though revisions could occur with updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration as the event approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 1 сентября?
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
27°C 20%
28°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
14%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
13%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
6%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
27°C 20%
28°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
14%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
13%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate moderating temperatures in Wuhan due to peripheral influences from Typhoon Shadell, delivering northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered rainfall through early September. This pattern aligns with the seasonal shift from peak summer heat, where historical early-September highs average near 30°C, toward cooler autumn conditions. Model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–30°C on September 1, with minor variations arising from exact timing of cloud breaks or precipitation intensity. Traders price outcomes tightly around these values because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show limited spread, though revisions could occur with updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration as the event approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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