Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models position the September 1 maximum in Cape Town near 17–19 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology under the influence of the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southerly flow. Latest runs show mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, supporting modest daytime warming without strong offshore flow or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings higher. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on cloud timing create the primary uncertainty captured by market-implied odds favoring 19 °C and 18 °C, while cooler outcomes remain possible if marine-layer stratus lingers. Updated National Weather Service and international guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 1 сентября?
19°C 44%
18°C 34%
20°C 26%
17°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
15%
18°C
34%
19°C
44%
20°C
26%
21°C
17%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 34%
20°C 26%
17°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
16°C
$0 Объем
9%
17°C
$12 Объем
15%
18°C
$81 Объем
34%
19°C
$51 Объем
44%
20°C
$0 Объем
26%
21°C
$0 Объем
17%
22°C
$0 Объем
<1%
23°C
$0 Объем
<1%
24°C
$0 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models position the September 1 maximum in Cape Town near 17–19 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology under the influence of the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southerly flow. Latest runs show mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, supporting modest daytime warming without strong offshore flow or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings higher. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on cloud timing create the primary uncertainty captured by market-implied odds favoring 19 °C and 18 °C, while cooler outcomes remain possible if marine-layer stratus lingers. Updated National Weather Service and international guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$144Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models position the September 1 maximum in Cape Town near 17–19 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology under the influence of the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southerly flow. Latest runs show mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, supporting modest daytime warming without strong offshore flow or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings higher. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on cloud timing create the primary uncertainty captured by market-implied odds favoring 19 °C and 18 °C, while cooler outcomes remain possible if marine-layer stratus lingers. Updated National Weather Service and international guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$144Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models position the September 1 maximum in Cape Town near 17–19 °C, consistent with early-spring climatology under the influence of the cool Benguela Current and prevailing southerly flow. Latest runs show mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, supporting modest daytime warming without strong offshore flow or clear-sky radiative heating that could push readings higher. Ensemble spread and minor model disagreements on cloud timing create the primary uncertainty captured by market-implied odds favoring 19 °C and 18 °C, while cooler outcomes remain possible if marine-layer stratus lingers. Updated National Weather Service and international guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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