Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts positions Istanbul's September 1 daytime high near 28–30°C under sunny, high-pressure conditions with moderate northerly flow, yet market-implied odds concentrate on 26–27°C as the most likely peak. This reflects typical late-summer cooling trends, with early-September climatology averaging around 27–28°C, alongside short-term uncertainty from variable wind speeds and potential afternoon stabilization that can cap observed maxima below ensemble means. Traders weigh these factors against historical station data and the narrow resolution window, where even modest model shifts in steering patterns could alter the exact recorded high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?
26°C 49%
27°C 45%
25°C 22%
28°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
22%
26°C
49%
27°C
35%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 45%
25°C 22%
28°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$0 Объем
4%
23°C
$0 Объем
4%
24°C
$20 Объем
7%
25°C
$0 Объем
22%
26°C
$27 Объем
49%
27°C
$9 Объем
35%
28°C
$0 Объем
10%
29°C
$0 Объем
5%
30°C
$0 Объем
<1%
31°C
$0 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts positions Istanbul's September 1 daytime high near 28–30°C under sunny, high-pressure conditions with moderate northerly flow, yet market-implied odds concentrate on 26–27°C as the most likely peak. This reflects typical late-summer cooling trends, with early-September climatology averaging around 27–28°C, alongside short-term uncertainty from variable wind speeds and potential afternoon stabilization that can cap observed maxima below ensemble means. Traders weigh these factors against historical station data and the narrow resolution window, where even modest model shifts in steering patterns could alter the exact recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$57Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts positions Istanbul's September 1 daytime high near 28–30°C under sunny, high-pressure conditions with moderate northerly flow, yet market-implied odds concentrate on 26–27°C as the most likely peak. This reflects typical late-summer cooling trends, with early-September climatology averaging around 27–28°C, alongside short-term uncertainty from variable wind speeds and potential afternoon stabilization that can cap observed maxima below ensemble means. Traders weigh these factors against historical station data and the narrow resolution window, where even modest model shifts in steering patterns could alter the exact recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$57Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts positions Istanbul's September 1 daytime high near 28–30°C under sunny, high-pressure conditions with moderate northerly flow, yet market-implied odds concentrate on 26–27°C as the most likely peak. This reflects typical late-summer cooling trends, with early-September climatology averaging around 27–28°C, alongside short-term uncertainty from variable wind speeds and potential afternoon stabilization that can cap observed maxima below ensemble means. Traders weigh these factors against historical station data and the narrow resolution window, where even modest model shifts in steering patterns could alter the exact recorded high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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