Skip to main content
icon for Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?

16°C or below 99%

26°C or higher 99%

17°C 50%

18°C 50%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

16°C or below 99%

26°C or higher 99%

17°C 50%

18°C 50%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

16°C or below

$0 Объем

99%

17°C

$0 Объем

50%

18°C

$0 Объем

50%

19°C

$0 Объем

50%

20°C

$0 Объем

26%

21°C

$0 Объем

26%

22°C

$0 Объем

50%

23°C

$0 Объем

2%

24°C

$0 Объем

50%

25°C

$0 Объем

8%

26°C or higher

$0 Объем

99%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's September 1 minimum temperature will likely fall in the 19–22°C range under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds, aligning with climatological averages near 18–20°C. With the event only 48 hours away, limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts or unusual moisture support steady overnight radiative cooling without sharp drops or spikes. Trader balance between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects rather than any observed anomaly, while narrower buckets around 17–25°C capture the most probable central tendency. Updated ensemble runs and local observations in the final 24 hours will clarify whether modest deviations from guidance materialize.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's September 1 minimum temperature will likely fall in the 19–22°C range under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds, aligning with climatological averages near 18–20°C. With the event only 48 hours away, limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts or unusual moisture support steady overnight radiative cooling without sharp drops or spikes. Trader balance between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects rather than any observed anomaly, while narrower buckets around 17–25°C capture the most probable central tendency. Updated ensemble runs and local observations in the final 24 hours will clarify whether modest deviations from guidance materialize.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «16°C or below» с 50%, за ним следует «26°C or higher» с 50%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 50¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 30, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?» — «16°C or below» с 50%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Следующий ближайший исход — «26°C or higher» с 50%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 1 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.