**Forecast models for Wellington on September 3 project daytime highs near 14–15°C and overnight lows of 12–13°C under northwesterly flow, yet the market assigns comparable 34.5% implied probability to both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher.** This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance for the daily minimum. Wellington’s exposure to Cook Strait amplifies variability: persistent strong NW winds (often 20–30 mph) promote mixing that limits radiative cooling and supports milder minima, while any embedded front or southerly change could introduce cooler maritime air and drop readings several degrees. Cloud cover and light rain further modulate nocturnal temperatures by trapping heat or enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical September lows average around 8–10°C, but current spring conditions with warmer surrounding seas favor the central bins (12–15°C) unless model consensus shifts with the next run.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 3 сентября?
8°C или ниже 69%
18°C или выше 69%
10°C 49%
15°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
69%
9°C
8%
10°C
49%
11°C
25%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
49%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C или выше
69%
8°C или ниже 69%
18°C или выше 69%
10°C 49%
15°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$5 Объем
69%
9°C
$5 Объем
8%
10°C
$5 Объем
49%
11°C
$0 Объем
25%
12°C
$0 Объем
26%
13°C
$0 Объем
26%
14°C
$0 Объем
25%
15°C
$5 Объем
49%
16°C
$5 Объем
8%
17°C
$5 Объем
8%
18°C или выше
$5 Объем
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Wellington on September 3 project daytime highs near 14–15°C and overnight lows of 12–13°C under northwesterly flow, yet the market assigns comparable 34.5% implied probability to both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher.** This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance for the daily minimum. Wellington’s exposure to Cook Strait amplifies variability: persistent strong NW winds (often 20–30 mph) promote mixing that limits radiative cooling and supports milder minima, while any embedded front or southerly change could introduce cooler maritime air and drop readings several degrees. Cloud cover and light rain further modulate nocturnal temperatures by trapping heat or enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical September lows average around 8–10°C, but current spring conditions with warmer surrounding seas favor the central bins (12–15°C) unless model consensus shifts with the next run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$35Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Wellington on September 3 project daytime highs near 14–15°C and overnight lows of 12–13°C under northwesterly flow, yet the market assigns comparable 34.5% implied probability to both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher.** This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance for the daily minimum. Wellington’s exposure to Cook Strait amplifies variability: persistent strong NW winds (often 20–30 mph) promote mixing that limits radiative cooling and supports milder minima, while any embedded front or southerly change could introduce cooler maritime air and drop readings several degrees. Cloud cover and light rain further modulate nocturnal temperatures by trapping heat or enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical September lows average around 8–10°C, but current spring conditions with warmer surrounding seas favor the central bins (12–15°C) unless model consensus shifts with the next run.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$35Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Wellington on September 3 project daytime highs near 14–15°C and overnight lows of 12–13°C under northwesterly flow, yet the market assigns comparable 34.5% implied probability to both 8°C or below and 18°C or higher.** This balance reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance for the daily minimum. Wellington’s exposure to Cook Strait amplifies variability: persistent strong NW winds (often 20–30 mph) promote mixing that limits radiative cooling and supports milder minima, while any embedded front or southerly change could introduce cooler maritime air and drop readings several degrees. Cloud cover and light rain further modulate nocturnal temperatures by trapping heat or enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical September lows average around 8–10°C, but current spring conditions with warmer surrounding seas favor the central bins (12–15°C) unless model consensus shifts with the next run.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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