Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a daytime high of 33–34°C on September 3 under subtropical high-pressure influence, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor afternoon warming. This places the market's tight clustering around 34°C (38.5% implied probability) and 33°C (30.5%) in line with model consensus and slightly above the early-September climatological average. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as the exact timing and coverage of any western-mountain showers, afternoon cloud build-up, or urban heat-island enhancement at the official observing site, all of which could shift the peak by 1–2°C before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 3 сентября?
34°C 39%
33°C 31%
32°C 19%
35°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
19%
33°C
31%
34°C
39%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 39%
33°C 31%
32°C 19%
35°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$56 Объем
1%
28°C
$137 Объем
1%
29°C
$40 Объем
3%
30°C
$46 Объем
3%
31°C
$132 Объем
5%
32°C
$284 Объем
19%
33°C
$164 Объем
31%
34°C
$322 Объем
39%
35°C
$234 Объем
7%
36°C
$204 Объем
4%
37°C or higher
$148 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a daytime high of 33–34°C on September 3 under subtropical high-pressure influence, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor afternoon warming. This places the market's tight clustering around 34°C (38.5% implied probability) and 33°C (30.5%) in line with model consensus and slightly above the early-September climatological average. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as the exact timing and coverage of any western-mountain showers, afternoon cloud build-up, or urban heat-island enhancement at the official observing site, all of which could shift the peak by 1–2°C before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,753Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a daytime high of 33–34°C on September 3 under subtropical high-pressure influence, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor afternoon warming. This places the market's tight clustering around 34°C (38.5% implied probability) and 33°C (30.5%) in line with model consensus and slightly above the early-September climatological average. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as the exact timing and coverage of any western-mountain showers, afternoon cloud build-up, or urban heat-island enhancement at the official observing site, all of which could shift the peak by 1–2°C before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,753Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a daytime high of 33–34°C on September 3 under subtropical high-pressure influence, producing mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor afternoon warming. This places the market's tight clustering around 34°C (38.5% implied probability) and 33°C (30.5%) in line with model consensus and slightly above the early-September climatological average. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as the exact timing and coverage of any western-mountain showers, afternoon cloud build-up, or urban heat-island enhancement at the official observing site, all of which could shift the peak by 1–2°C before the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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