Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Chengdu on September 2, aligning with the tight clustering of leading market-implied odds near those levels. Light northerly winds and mostly cloudy to clear skies overnight are expected to permit moderate radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin, consistent with early September climatology where diurnal ranges average 8–12°C under stable high-pressure influence. Limited precipitation risk and dew points around 18–20°C further support these thresholds, with any model spread likely tied to subtle variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs ahead of resolution could refine the exact minimum if overnight conditions shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 2 сентября?
25°C 82%
20°C 76%
23°C 76%
24°C 75%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
17°C or below
44%
18°C
14%
19°C
70%
20°C
76%
21°C
52%
22°C
50%
23°C
76%
24°C
75%
25°C
82%
26°C
14%
27°C or higher
6%
25°C 82%
20°C 76%
23°C 76%
24°C 75%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$5 Объем
44%
18°C
$51 Объем
14%
19°C
$0 Объем
70%
20°C
$0 Объем
76%
21°C
$0 Объем
52%
22°C
$0 Объем
50%
23°C
$0 Объем
76%
24°C
$0 Объем
75%
25°C
$20 Объем
82%
26°C
$5 Объем
14%
27°C or higher
$5 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Chengdu on September 2, aligning with the tight clustering of leading market-implied odds near those levels. Light northerly winds and mostly cloudy to clear skies overnight are expected to permit moderate radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin, consistent with early September climatology where diurnal ranges average 8–12°C under stable high-pressure influence. Limited precipitation risk and dew points around 18–20°C further support these thresholds, with any model spread likely tied to subtle variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs ahead of resolution could refine the exact minimum if overnight conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$86Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Chengdu on September 2, aligning with the tight clustering of leading market-implied odds near those levels. Light northerly winds and mostly cloudy to clear skies overnight are expected to permit moderate radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin, consistent with early September climatology where diurnal ranges average 8–12°C under stable high-pressure influence. Limited precipitation risk and dew points around 18–20°C further support these thresholds, with any model spread likely tied to subtle variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs ahead of resolution could refine the exact minimum if overnight conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$86Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Chengdu on September 2, aligning with the tight clustering of leading market-implied odds near those levels. Light northerly winds and mostly cloudy to clear skies overnight are expected to permit moderate radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin, consistent with early September climatology where diurnal ranges average 8–12°C under stable high-pressure influence. Limited precipitation risk and dew points around 18–20°C further support these thresholds, with any model spread likely tied to subtle variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs ahead of resolution could refine the exact minimum if overnight conditions shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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