Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily high in Chengdu on September 2 around 30–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the seasonal transition from peak summer heat. Late August observations recorded consistent highs of 33–35°C amid lingering warm, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin, supporting elevated trader weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes. These probabilities reflect model consensus on modest cooling from reduced solar heating and potential cloud increases, while historical September averages near 30°C and low precipitation chances limit downside risk below 32°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 2 сентября?
35°C 35%
34°C 27%
33°C 24%
32°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
24%
34°C
24%
35°C
35%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
4%
35°C 35%
34°C 27%
33°C 24%
32°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$391 Объем
1%
29°C
$172 Объем
1%
30°C
$320 Объем
3%
31°C
$186 Объем
4%
32°C
$825 Объем
12%
33°C
$179 Объем
24%
34°C
$205 Объем
24%
35°C
$477 Объем
35%
36°C
$247 Объем
2%
37°C
$404 Объем
2%
38°C or higher
$830 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily high in Chengdu on September 2 around 30–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the seasonal transition from peak summer heat. Late August observations recorded consistent highs of 33–35°C amid lingering warm, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin, supporting elevated trader weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes. These probabilities reflect model consensus on modest cooling from reduced solar heating and potential cloud increases, while historical September averages near 30°C and low precipitation chances limit downside risk below 32°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$4,234Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily high in Chengdu on September 2 around 30–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the seasonal transition from peak summer heat. Late August observations recorded consistent highs of 33–35°C amid lingering warm, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin, supporting elevated trader weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes. These probabilities reflect model consensus on modest cooling from reduced solar heating and potential cloud increases, while historical September averages near 30°C and low precipitation chances limit downside risk below 32°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,234Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, project a daily high in Chengdu on September 2 around 30–34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the seasonal transition from peak summer heat. Late August observations recorded consistent highs of 33–35°C amid lingering warm, humid conditions in the Sichuan Basin, supporting elevated trader weighting toward 34–35°C outcomes. These probabilities reflect model consensus on modest cooling from reduced solar heating and potential cloud increases, while historical September averages near 30°C and low precipitation chances limit downside risk below 32°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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