Skip to main content
icon for Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?

Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?

icon for Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?

Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?

NYC

Hong Kong

London

Seattle

NYC

Hong Kong

London

Seattle

>6" 23%

3-4" 22%

2-3" 19%

4-5" 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

>6" 23%

3-4" 22%

2-3" 19%

4-5" 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<2"

$577 Объем

10%

2-3"

$0 Объем

19%

3-4"

$50 Объем

22%

4-5"

$0 Объем

19%

5-6"

$20 Объем

15%

>6"

$60 Объем

23%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong El Niño conditions strengthening into September 2026 introduce notable uncertainty for Northeast precipitation patterns, with CPC outlooks showing equal chances amid model spread and El Niño composites often favoring below-normal rainfall in the region due to a suppressed Atlantic jet and reduced tropical moisture transport. Historical Central Park averages of 4.31 inches reflect high interannual variability driven by frontal systems, nor’easters, and occasional tropical remnants, while recent late-August heat-dome dynamics have delivered localized heavy rain that may temporarily elevate atmospheric moisture. Traders appear split between near-normal totals (centered on 3–5 inches) and wetter outcomes (>6 inches), reflecting divergent signals on whether persistent subtropical ridging will limit convective activity or whether late-month storm tracks could enhance totals despite the broader El Niño influence.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.

If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$707
Дата окончания
2 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong El Niño conditions strengthening into September 2026 introduce notable uncertainty for Northeast precipitation patterns, with CPC outlooks showing equal chances amid model spread and El Niño composites often favoring below-normal rainfall in the region due to a suppressed Atlantic jet and reduced tropical moisture transport. Historical Central Park averages of 4.31 inches reflect high interannual variability driven by frontal systems, nor’easters, and occasional tropical remnants, while recent late-August heat-dome dynamics have delivered localized heavy rain that may temporarily elevate atmospheric moisture. Traders appear split between near-normal totals (centered on 3–5 inches) and wetter outcomes (>6 inches), reflecting divergent signals on whether persistent subtropical ridging will limit convective activity or whether late-month storm tracks could enhance totals despite the broader El Niño influence.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.

If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$707
Дата окончания
2 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Связанные

icon for Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in August?

Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in August?

99%
icon for Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?

Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?

26%
icon for Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?

Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?

32%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «>6"» с 23%, за ним следует «3-4"» с 22%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 23¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 23%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?» — «>6"» с 23%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 23%. Следующий ближайший исход — «3-4"» с 22%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Осадки в Нью-Йорке в сентябре?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.