Multiple record-shattering heatwaves have propelled France toward its hottest summer on record, with June delivering the warmest month in history and July topping the 2003 benchmark at a 24.9°C national average. These extremes, fueled by prolonged high-pressure systems and elevated sea surface temperatures, have already built an insurmountable lead in seasonal averages. Traders see little room for reversal given the margins, though a dramatically cooler late August could theoretically narrow the gap if anomalies flip sharply negative. Precursor data from Météo-France and Copernicus underscore the momentum, mirroring how early critical acclaim locks in awards frontrunners well before final voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСтанет ли лето 2026 года самым жарким за всю историю Франции?
Да
Да
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiquesResolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
Источник определения исхода
https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiquesResolver
0x65070BE91...Multiple record-shattering heatwaves have propelled France toward its hottest summer on record, with June delivering the warmest month in history and July topping the 2003 benchmark at a 24.9°C national average. These extremes, fueled by prolonged high-pressure systems and elevated sea surface temperatures, have already built an insurmountable lead in seasonal averages. Traders see little room for reversal given the margins, though a dramatically cooler late August could theoretically narrow the gap if anomalies flip sharply negative. Precursor data from Météo-France and Copernicus underscore the momentum, mirroring how early critical acclaim locks in awards frontrunners well before final voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы