Recent weather model consensus and real-time observations for Panama City, Panama, position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes because typical early-September wet-season conditions—high humidity, scattered convective clouds, and light winds—limit extreme daytime heating while allowing peaks near or slightly above the 30°C monthly average. Differentiating factors include afternoon thunderstorm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through shading and evaporative cooling, versus clearer intervals that permit brief spikes toward 33°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs showing modest variability against historical analogs of 28–31°C highs. Updated short-range forecasts and morning satellite imagery on September 2 will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панаме 2 сентября?
32°C 32%
31°C 29%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
29%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
25%
32°C 32%
31°C 29%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
29%
32°C
32%
33°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus and real-time observations for Panama City, Panama, position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes because typical early-September wet-season conditions—high humidity, scattered convective clouds, and light winds—limit extreme daytime heating while allowing peaks near or slightly above the 30°C monthly average. Differentiating factors include afternoon thunderstorm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through shading and evaporative cooling, versus clearer intervals that permit brief spikes toward 33°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders weigh the latest GFS and ECMWF runs showing modest variability against historical analogs of 28–31°C highs. Updated short-range forecasts and morning satellite imagery on September 2 will likely resolve the narrow spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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