Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Mexico City highs on September 2 likely reaching 23–24 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered because afternoon convection and cloud cover remain uncertain. At 2,240 m elevation, radiational cooling and orographic lifting from surrounding mountains moderate peak temperatures, while late-summer moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima before solar noon. Light steering winds and variable humidity further blur distinctions among the leading bins; a drier, sunnier window could push readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower side of the range. Updated model runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 2 сентября?
24°C 44%
23°C 33%
25°C 23%
26°C or higher 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
8%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
10%
23°C
33%
24°C
32%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
20%
24°C 44%
23°C 33%
25°C 23%
26°C or higher 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$145 Объем
1%
17°C
$145 Объем
1%
18°C
$155 Объем
<1%
19°C
$72 Объем
8%
20°C
$5 Объем
17%
21°C
$16 Объем
17%
22°C
$17 Объем
10%
23°C
$60 Объем
33%
24°C
$49 Объем
32%
25°C
$93 Объем
23%
26°C or higher
$10 Объем
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Mexico City highs on September 2 likely reaching 23–24 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered because afternoon convection and cloud cover remain uncertain. At 2,240 m elevation, radiational cooling and orographic lifting from surrounding mountains moderate peak temperatures, while late-summer moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima before solar noon. Light steering winds and variable humidity further blur distinctions among the leading bins; a drier, sunnier window could push readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower side of the range. Updated model runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$767Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Mexico City highs on September 2 likely reaching 23–24 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered because afternoon convection and cloud cover remain uncertain. At 2,240 m elevation, radiational cooling and orographic lifting from surrounding mountains moderate peak temperatures, while late-summer moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima before solar noon. Light steering winds and variable humidity further blur distinctions among the leading bins; a drier, sunnier window could push readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower side of the range. Updated model runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$767Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Mexico City highs on September 2 likely reaching 23–24 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered because afternoon convection and cloud cover remain uncertain. At 2,240 m elevation, radiational cooling and orographic lifting from surrounding mountains moderate peak temperatures, while late-summer moisture fuels scattered thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima before solar noon. Light steering winds and variable humidity further blur distinctions among the leading bins; a drier, sunnier window could push readings toward 25 °C, whereas earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower side of the range. Updated model runs and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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