Current model consensus for Mexico City on September 2 points to an overnight minimum near 13–14°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity at the city's 2,240 m elevation, which limits radiative cooling under typical early-September conditions. Scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty, as thicker clouds or precipitation could hold temperatures above 14°C while clearer intervals allow brief dips toward 12°C or lower. Historical September lows average around 13°C, providing a baseline, though short-term forecast updates from agencies like Mexico's SMN will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution. Trader positioning around 11–15°C reflects this narrow scientific spread in ensemble guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 2 сентября?
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
8°C или ниже
4%
9°C
36%
10°C
-
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
40%
17°C
27%
18°C или выше
60%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
8°C или ниже
4%
9°C
36%
10°C
-
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
40%
17°C
27%
18°C или выше
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus for Mexico City on September 2 points to an overnight minimum near 13–14°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity at the city's 2,240 m elevation, which limits radiative cooling under typical early-September conditions. Scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty, as thicker clouds or precipitation could hold temperatures above 14°C while clearer intervals allow brief dips toward 12°C or lower. Historical September lows average around 13°C, providing a baseline, though short-term forecast updates from agencies like Mexico's SMN will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution. Trader positioning around 11–15°C reflects this narrow scientific spread in ensemble guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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