Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a highest temperature on September 3 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those levels. A remnant disturbance from tropical cyclone Shadel, combined with an inverted trough and peripheral flow from the western Pacific subtropical high, is driving scattered showers, elevated cloud cover, and northerly winds of 3–7 on the Beaufort scale through September 3. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima near or slightly below the late-summer climatological average of ~29–30°C. Model consensus shows gradual clearing later in the day, which could allow modest additional warming if skies open earlier than expected. Official Wuhan Meteorological Observatory updates and final observational data from surface stations will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 3 сентября?
29°C 40%
30°C 40%
28°C 31%
27°C 20%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 40%
30°C 40%
28°C 31%
27°C 20%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
23%
29°C
24%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a highest temperature on September 3 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around those levels. A remnant disturbance from tropical cyclone Shadel, combined with an inverted trough and peripheral flow from the western Pacific subtropical high, is driving scattered showers, elevated cloud cover, and northerly winds of 3–7 on the Beaufort scale through September 3. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima near or slightly below the late-summer climatological average of ~29–30°C. Model consensus shows gradual clearing later in the day, which could allow modest additional warming if skies open earlier than expected. Official Wuhan Meteorological Observatory updates and final observational data from surface stations will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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